In a report by the
Center for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) release in late September 2014
it was projected that the worst case scenario for the current Ebola epidemic is
that by January 20, 2015 there could be approximately 550,000 reported (1.4 million
when corrected for underreporting) cases of Ebola in Western Africa.
The data below is
based on the World Health Organization (WHO) report on October 10, 2014.
Countries: 7
Major: Guinea; Liberia; Sierra Leone.
Minor: Nigeria ; Senegal; Spain; United States
Susceptible:
Approximately 22.1 million from the major outbreak countries.
Exposed (Serial
interval : 9-15 days.)
Major - over 21,760
Minor - unavailable.
Registered cases as
of October 10 ,2014.
Reproduction
rate: 1.5 - 2
Infectious:
Major - 4,352
Minor - 14
Reported infectious
cases may double by the end of October 2014.
Removed
Death
rate: 70%
Deaths:
Major - 4,352
Minor - 9
Total reported cases
Major - 8,376
Minor - 23
Disease Export - 2
With the current
efforts on the ground the rate will probably slow but almost insignificantly.
At this stage over 750 additional doctors and over 3,000 nurses are needed for
it to be adequately contained. This needs the world's attention and fast, very
fast or it may soon become a problem in every country's backyard.
Fighting Chikungunya
Comments
Post a Comment